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Federal election 2019: First exit poll reveals Bill Shorten, Labor on track for victory

The first federal election exit poll has projected Labor will tonight win government and Bill Shorten will be elected Australia’s next prime minister.  

The Nine Network/Galaxy exit poll found Labor ahead of the Coalition 52 to 48 per cent on a two party preferred basis nationwide. 

The poll surveyed 33 electorates across six states and found a swing to the ALP in every state, with a lead ranging from 1.1 per cent in Queensland, 3.2 per cent in Victoria and 2.5 per cent in New South Wales. 

EXIT POLLS SWINGS

NEW SOUTH WALES: 2.5 per cent

That could see Labor pick up the seats of Gilmore, Robertson, Banks and Page

VICTORIA: 3.2 per cent

That would see the Liberal Party lose the seat of Chisholm and La Trobe in Melbourne

QUEENSLAND: 1.1 per cent

 That would put the National Party seats of Capricornia and Flynn in danger and give Labor a chance of taking the Liberal-held seat of Forde

A tight election result had been widely expected, with both Labor and Coalition strategists on edge with polls closing at 6pm.

The Coalition’s primary vote has sunk three per cent since the 2016 election while Labor’s has surged by the same margin.

The major parties will need 76 seats to win a parliamentary majority in an expanded 151-seat House of Representatives.

Labor goes into the election notionally holding 72 seats, following redistributions, compared with 73 for the Coalition. 

The exit poll comes as Scott Morrison refused to say whether he will carry on as Liberal Leader should he lose the election. 

The Prime Minister addressed the media after kissing his wife Jenny as they cast their ballots in Cook, south Sydney.

Far from the confidence Bill Shorten showed this morning, Mr Morrison shied away from predicting the result, saying: ‘I make no assumptions about tonight.’

He then refused to comment on whether he would continue as Liberal leader as he stares down the barrel of defeat. 

Reason to be confident: Bill Shorten and his wife Chloe voted at a polling station in Melbourne's Moonee Ponds today

Reason to be confident: Bill Shorten and his wife Chloe voted at a polling station in Melbourne’s Moonee Ponds today

Prime Minister Scott Morrison and his wife Jenny Morrison cast their votes at Lilli Pilli Public School in Cook, Sydney

Prime Minister Scott Morrison and his wife Jenny Morrison cast their votes at Lilli Pilli Public School in Cook, Sydney

Prime Minister Scott Morrison and his wife Jenny Morrison cast their votes at Lilli Pilli Public School in Cook

Mr Morrison kissed and hugged his wife after they cast their votes

Prime Minister Scott Morrison kissed his wife Jenny after the pair cast their votes at Lilli Pilli Public School in Cook, Sydney

Prime Minister Scott Morrison, left, gestures while holdi

Prime Minister Scott Morrison, left, hugs his wife Jenny after casting his ballot in the federal election in Sydney

Revealing that he voted for himself, he joked: 'I think you can guess how I voted today because I hear the local member is pretty good.'

Revealing that he voted for himself, he joked: ‘I think you can guess how I voted today because I hear the local member is pretty good.’

Mr Morrison refused to comment on whether he would continue as Liberal leader as he stares down the barrel of defeat

The PM casts his vote in Cook, south Sydney

Mr Morrison refused to comment on whether he would continue as Liberal leader as he stares down the barrel of defeat

‘As I have said when this question has been put to me before, this election is not about my future. It is about your future. It is about the people of Australia’s future,’ he said. 

‘It is about their aspirations, their ambitions. It is not about my aspirations or Bill Shorten’s ambition, it is about the Australian people’s aspiration and that is what I have focused on.’

Revealing that he voted for himself, he joked: ‘I think you can guess how I voted today because I hear the local member is pretty good.’ 

Mr Morrison thanked supporters and said he would not like to predict the result, adding: ‘I make no assumptions about tonight. 

‘I respect this process. It is dear to my heart, the democracy of our country. I am making no presumptions. I don’t take anyone’s support in this country for granted.’

Mr Shorten this morning said he is so confident of winning the election that he is already planning what he would do on his first day in power.

After casting his vote in Moonee Ponds, Victoria and awkwardly eating a democracy sausage, the Labor leader gave a short speech outlining his priorities for government.

After casting his vote in Moonee Ponds, Victoria and awkwardly eating a democracy sausage, the Labor leader gave a short speech outlining his priorities for government

After casting his vote in Moonee Ponds, Victoria and awkwardly eating a democracy sausage, the Labor leader gave a short speech outlining his priorities for government

Bill Shorten kisses a voter's baby in Melbourne

Mr Shorten hugs an elderly voter in the line to vote

Bill Shorten kisses a voter’s baby in Melbourne before hugging an elderly voter in the line to cast a ballot

Prime Minister Scott Morrison and wife Jenny are seen with the Liberal candidate for Braddon, Gavin Pearce (rear second right) and a voter with a young child

Prime Minister Scott Morrison and wife Jenny are seen with the Liberal candidate for Braddon, Gavin Pearce (rear second right) and a voter with a young child

The Democracy Sausage has quickly become a staple at schools and church halls around the country during elections, and today's federal election was gearing up to be the biggest snag day yet

The Democracy Sausage has quickly become a staple at schools and church halls around the country during elections, and today’s federal election was gearing up to be the biggest snag day yet

With millions of voters flocking to polling booths from early on Saturday, some were left without a sausage in hand after they'd voted for their party of choice - but these voters in Brunswick had no shortage of sizzles

With millions of voters flocking to polling booths from early on Saturday, some were left without a sausage in hand after they’d voted for their party of choice – but these voters in Brunswick had no shortage of sizzles

Standing alongside his popular wife Chloe, he declared that his first move would be to make a law raising pay for shift-workers at nights and weekends.   

The 52-year-old said: ‘In the event that the people of Australia voted for action on climate change, we will be ready to hit the ground from tomorrow. We’ll be ready to start straight away and we will start straight away.

‘My first cabinet meeting, the first order of business, we will put a submission to the independent umpire to get the wages moving again for millions of our fellow Australians. 

‘My first legislation will be to reverse the cuts to penalty rates.’

Mr Shorten also explained that tackling climate change is another priority, saying: ‘We will convene the parliament as soon as possible to start action on climate change.  

A reporter asked Mr Shorten if he would quit politics if he lost the election. 

‘Let’s hold the horses here,’ the leader replied. ‘I’m confident that Labor can win. Is Mr Morrison staying around? Have you asked him?’

Australian Opposition Leader Bill Shorten and his wife Chloe share a moment after casting their votes at Moonee Ponds West Primary school in Melbourne

Australian Opposition Leader Bill Shorten and his wife Chloe share a moment after casting their votes at Moonee Ponds West Primary school in Melbourne

Bill Shorten speaks to voters at a polling station after casting his vote in the Melbourne suburb of Moonee Ponds

Bill Shorten speaks to voters at a polling station after casting his vote in the Melbourne suburb of Moonee Ponds

Bill Shorten enjoys a sausage at a polling station after casting his vote in the Melbourne suburb of Moonee Ponds

Bill Shorten enjoys a sausage at a polling station after casting his vote in the Melbourne suburb of Moonee Ponds

Opposition Leader Bill Shorten waves goodbye after casting his vote at Moonee Ponds West Primary school

Opposition Leader Bill Shorten waves goodbye after casting his vote at Moonee Ponds West Primary school 

Bill Shorten drinks a coffee at Carnegie Primary School, in the seat of Higgins after arriving from Moonee Ponds

Bill Shorten drinks a coffee at Carnegie Primary School, in the seat of Higgins after arriving from Moonee Ponds

Polls suggest the opposition leader is on track to become prime minister and lead Labor to government for the first time since 2013. Pictured: People voting in the seat of Brunswick on Saturday, May 18, 2019

Polls suggest the opposition leader is on track to become prime minister and lead Labor to government for the first time since 2013. Pictured: People voting in the seat of Brunswick on Saturday, May 18, 2019

Mr Shorten and his wife Chloe met voters in long queues before casting their ballots on Saturday. Pictured: People enjoying a sausage before voting in the seat of Brunswick

Mr Shorten and his wife Chloe met voters in long queues before casting their ballots on Saturday. Pictured: People enjoying a sausage before voting in the seat of Brunswick

A man in swim wear is pictured outside Bondi Surf Life Saving Club, in the seat of Wentworth, Sydney

A man in swim wear is pictured outside Bondi Surf Life Saving Club, in the seat of Wentworth, Sydney

Polls suggest the opposition leader is on track to become prime minister and lead Labor to government for the first time since 2013.

Mr Shorten and his wife Chloe met voters in long queues before casting their ballots on Saturday.

He chomped a sausage sandwich afterwards, partaking in one Australia’s great election day traditions.

‘Tastes like a mood for change,’ he said.

Mr Shorten kicked off his day in trademark fashion, with a morning run around Melbourne wearing a red t-shirt with ‘Vote 1 Chloe Shorten’s husband’.

He then switched outfits, donning a suit as he made a final pitch to voters on breakfast television.

The Labor leader is expected to spend the day on polling stations around the Victorian capital, considered a key battleground in the election.

People queue to cast their votes at Moonee Ponds West Primary school during Election Day in Melbourne

People queue to cast their votes at Moonee Ponds West Primary school during Election Day in Melbourne

Opposition Labor leader Bill Shorten speaks to voters at a polling station after casting his vote in the Melbourne suburb of Moonee Ponds during Australia's general election

Opposition Labor leader Bill Shorten speaks to voters at a polling station after casting his vote in the Melbourne suburb of Moonee Ponds during Australia’s general election

Voters at the Bondi Surf Life Saving Club, in the seat of Wentworth, with a tight battle between incumbent Prime Minister Scott Morrison of the Coalition party and Labor Leader, Bill Shorten

Voters at the Bondi Surf Life Saving Club, in the seat of Wentworth, with a tight battle between incumbent Prime Minister Scott Morrison of the Coalition party and Labor Leader, Bill Shorten

People vote at Burleigh Heads RSL Hall on the Gold Coast, Queensland as the federal election enters its final day

People vote at Burleigh Heads RSL Hall on the Gold Coast, Queensland as the federal election enters its final day

An anti-Abbott and anti-church campaigner outside a polling booth at Queenscliff Surf Life Saving Club in the seat of Warringah

An anti-Abbott and anti-church campaigner outside a polling booth at Queenscliff Surf Life Saving Club in the seat of Warringah

Surfers walk past political posters at a polling booth at Queenscliff in the set of Warringah on Election Day in Sydney

Surfers walk past political posters at a polling booth at Queenscliff in the set of Warringah on Election Day in Sydney

SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - MAY 18: A woman casts her vote while still in a wetsuit at the Bondi Surf Life Saving Club, in the seat of Wentworth, on May 18, 2019 in Sydney, Australia. Australians head to the polls today to elect the 46th Parliament of Australia, with a tight battle between incumbent Prime Minister Scott Morrison of the Coalition party and Labor Leader, Bill Shorten. The Coalition party has led government since 2013. (Photo by Brook Mitchell/Getty Images)

A woman casts her vote while still in a wetsuit at the Bondi Surf Life Saving Club, in the seat of Wentworth

Voters at the Bondi Surf Life Saving Club, in the seat of Wentworth in the eastern suburbs of Sydney on election day

Voters at the Bondi Surf Life Saving Club, in the seat of Wentworth in the eastern suburbs of Sydney on election day

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Scott Morrison is keeping the faith as he stares down a likely election defeat.

All signs suggest the coalition will be sent packing after a narrow Labor win on Saturday night.

‘I think it will be a long night. I’ve always said this election will be close,’ Mr Morrison told Sunrise on Network Seven.

‘Five weeks ago people weren’t saying that, but I’ve always known it to be the case.’

The final Newspoll of the campaign shows Labor edging ahead of the coalition by 51.5 to 48.5 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.

But both sides believe battles in 20 key marginal seats across the country will decide the result. 

Prime Minister Scott Morrison talks to locals at Ulverstone Secondary College, 20 km west of Devonport

Prime Minister Scott Morrison talks to locals at Ulverstone Secondary College, 20 km west of Devonport

Prime Minister Scott Morrison arrives at Ulverstone Secondary College, 20km west of Devonport, Tasmania on election day

Prime Minister Scott Morrison arrives at Ulverstone Secondary College, 20km west of Devonport, Tasmania on election day

A 'Kater Australia Party' volunteer is seen at the Belgian Gardens State School on May 18, 2019 in Townsville

A ‘Kater Australia Party’ volunteer is seen at the Belgian Gardens State School on May 18, 2019 in Townsville

The Greens voters are seen as Bill Shorten visits Carnegie Primary School, in the seat of Higgins, Melbourne

The Greens voters are seen as Bill Shorten visits Carnegie Primary School, in the seat of Higgins, Melbourne

Australian Federal Member for Dickson Peter Dutton poses for a photo with supporters outside a voting station at Pine Rivers State High School on Election Day in Brisbane

Australian Federal Member for Dickson Peter Dutton poses for a photo with supporters outside a voting station at Pine Rivers State High School on Election Day in Brisbane

A man walks with his surfboard outside a polling station at Freshwater Surf Lifesaving Club on May 18, 2019 in Sydney, Australia

A man walks with his surfboard outside a polling station at Freshwater Surf Lifesaving Club on May 18, 2019 in Sydney, Australia

Mr Morrison spent his election morning in Tasmania where the coalition was trying to soak up every vote possible to take the marginal seats of Bass and Braddon from Labor.

He then flew to Sydney to cast his own vote in the Sutherland Shire, before campaigning with other MPs in marginal electorates across the city.

The prime minister has presented this election as a presidential-style race between himself and Mr Shorten.

Voters will now deliver their verdict on whether his frenetic five-week campaign has been enough to secure the coalition a third term in power.

Mr Morrison spent the final full day of his campaign targeting a clutch of key seats throughout Queensland and NSW.

The Liberals are expecting reasonable results in both of the states, with Victoria and Western Australia firming up as the crucial battlegrounds. 

Members of the public stand in line to vote at Neutral Bay Public School on May 18, 2019 in Sydney, Australia

Members of the public stand in line to vote at Neutral Bay Public School on May 18, 2019 in Sydney, Australia

Scott Morrison with the Liberal candidate for Braddon, Gavin Pearce (left) at Ulverstone Secondary College

Scott Morrison with the Liberal candidate for Braddon, Gavin Pearce (left) at Ulverstone Secondary College

Scott Morrison with Tasmania Premier Will Hodgman (left) at Ulverstone Secondary College before he flew to Sydney

Scott Morrison with Tasmania Premier Will Hodgman (left) at Ulverstone Secondary College before he flew to Sydney

Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison was at the Ulverstone Secondary College during Election Day in Ulverstone, Tasmania

Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison was at the Ulverstone Secondary College during Election Day in Ulverstone, Tasmania

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Written by Angle News

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